Wednesday, June 30, 2010

The Future of Cyber Terrorism

In this post I would like to discuss a bit about the future of our world and the threats which we may face in near future.
A critical factor in defending against cyber terrorism is thinking towards the future. It is easy to fall into the trap of projecting what terrorists might do in the future to our current technologies. But, we must think about what terrorists might do in the future to our future technologies. This becomes doubly challenging since predicting the future is always difficult and this challenges us to predict the future in two dimensions. Future terrorists will not attack what we have now!
They will attack what we will have in the future. For example, as we evolve more toward virtual worlds, diskless workstations (‘thin client’), and computing capabilities are being deployed at a national-level utility rather than as individual or corporate data systems. We would be wise to extrapolate into the future based on current trends, then to think about how cyber terrorists might attack our future environment and technology infrastructure.

Software, hardware, and data may be provided as a central utility, supplying customers at low cost. This would liberate individuals and corporations to focus on their core missions, rather than maintaining an information technology department, dealing with security, applying updates and patches, managing a ‘help desk’, etc.

With our nation’s cyber landscape destined to change, and cyber terrorism evolving its target of attack, we must channel our thoughts and actions toward the future of both cyber terrorism and technology; we must understand their convergence, and we must address the security requirements of that future.

Regardless of whether cyber terrorism is a misnomer, a serious threat to life, safety, and our critical infrastructures, or just an annoyance, we need to be ever vigilant and forward-thinking to meet future challenges regarding cyber security.

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